Scenario Planning
& Simulation Modelling

Predicting Is Difficult And Risky

From modelling the impact of change across organizational boundaries to staff and workforce planning, the Pepler Group can help you accurately identify and discuss potential implications and impacts of new or existing strategy elements, services, technologies, markets and partnerships. We help you generate options that are economically tested for robustness and analyzed against your organization’s readiness, capacity and knowledge to improve quality, reduce costs and achieve your targeted outcomes.

Scenario Planning and Systems Modelling are used successfully in many industries. These powerful tools have yet to be fully leveraged in the planning of government, healthcare, social services, education and/or justice organizations.

The standard approach for dealing with our service delivery, from infrastructure choices to supply chain management, is based on historical information. But what if the future is different from anything we’ve experienced in the past? Many of our planning problems ask us to look forward 25 to 50 years. Scenario planning allows us to take a broader view of the future by considering alternative futures and options analysis for developing solutions that are robust across the range of possible futures.

OUR STRATEGIST TOOLKIT: Scenario Planning Using Digital Tools

Why use scenarios? Future thinking and making accurate predictions is a bumpy and difficult road if the practice is not participatory. Scenario thinking, or planning, is a globally recognized collaborative, integrated practice, that works with people within your organization or in the wider sector that leads to new insights on strategy or direction to create plausible solutions. We focus on both the mindset that underpins thinking about the future, and the processes embedded within the organization, to encourage knowledge exchange and development of mutual deeper understanding of issues important to the future of the organization. Both are essential to ensure capacity building and organizational transition to new ways of working about a common future. Encouraging participant’s perception of possible future events—shifting the mindset to think the unthinkable---what if?

Want to learn more about how Scenario Planning & Systems Modelling can help your organization?

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What If?

Scenarios are constructed to give a realistic dimension, and to collaboratively engage stakeholders by applying a mix of storytelling, visualization and enactment techniques. Immersion into the scenario by a diverse group of participants is the best way for the potential impact and consequence of the ‘what if’ model to be experienced.

Simulation can be used as a lower cost, lower risk and faster way to support decision making in many areas of strategic planning; from future service provision to spatial design, whole systems workforce planning, risk mitigation and contingency plan testing.

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